Category Archives: Betting Models

Improving the Strength of Schedule Model, and Week 4 NFL Picks

Tweet I promised you all that before Sunday, I’d try to get you the offensive and defensive ratings of the 32 NFL teams, as computed by the strength-of-schedule model I introduced in my last post. Well, it’s Saturday, I’m making good on that promise. Here they are, in order of strongest overall to weakest overall…

A Basic Model to Account for Strength of Schedule

Tweet In this post I’ll introduce the basic framework of the model I’ve used with some success to bet NFL and college basketball games. There’s plenty of room to make it stronger, and my hope is that the readers of this site will contribute with ideas and man-hours to help strengthen it. Since the model…